We are now in September and its crunch time all over the world as September is the month that makes or breaks the forecasts.
A quiet September for the WPAC would be disasterous as we are well behind previous years.
We are currently on 10 JTWC TD's 9 TS 3 TY's
The last predictior from the City Univeristy of Hong Kong predicted that we would see 27 JTWC TD's 23 TSs and 15 TYs. Unless we have a big september this prediction aint gonna be met.
Taiwans NMHSS predicted 20-23 TS which seems slightly reasonable but again i doubt this will be met
Tropical Storm Risk predicted 23 TS and 14 TY's in August which seems well out of whack after the August weve just had
Id say we will probbably end the season on about 18 TS and 8 Ty's but that depends on how busy September is.
We were predicted 20 TC's before they changed their minds and said 15. However I havent seen any updated predictions from them in a while but at a push id say they will have about 14 Depressions in total with at least one super typhoon making landfall on the Phillipines before the year is out. Also is it any wonder i dont trust them when they only have to have a years expierence.
JasonRees 04:04, September 6, 2010 (UTC)