Forum:2018 Pacific hurricane season

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This is the forum page for the 2018 Pacific hurricane season.

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Other Basin Talkpages (2018): Atlantic - W. Pacific - E. Pacific - S. Hemisphere - N. Indian

July

It's officially July now by UTC, though we'll leave the above storms up until they dissipate, and by then well put them in the June archive. Ryan1000 00:21, July 1, 2018 (UTC)

GFS with all its fantasy storms doesn't show anything at all in the next 384 hours, which suggests the first half of July will probably be dead. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:06, July 4, 2018 (UTC)

MATE. 

A BLOKE ON TWITTER SAID THE PPM CRASHED AND THE EAST PACIFIC IS ICE-COLD.

SUPER ANNOYED AT THIS RIGHT NOW.

I REALLY WANT AN ACTIVE EAST PACIFIC. TEAM EAST PACIFIC 2018 ALL THE WAY. The West Pacific have god-awful names this year along with the Atlantic. I REALLY WANT LANE TO BE A LONG FISH. WHAT ARE WE GONNA DO NOW, EH? I WILL RAISE THE ROOF IF THIS SEASON UNDERPERFORMS. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 16:51, July 7, 2018 (UTC)

The basin is most likely just in a slumber for now, and it'll pick up again by the end of the month. The developing El Nino should prevent another 2010 (which had an active June and then fell asleep for the rest of the season) from recurring. ~ Steve 🌞 Talk PageMy Edits📧 18:35, July 7, 2018 (UTC)

98E.INVEST

98E.INVEST

Well this basin isn't sleeping yet. This invest has a 10/20 chance of tropical cyclone formation. --Roy25 14:08, July 10, 2018 (UTC)

F-king pathetic. 0/10. Pissed off right now. I just want heavy shear and dry air to take over the Atlantic now. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 20:08, July 11, 2018 (UTC)

I mean.. I think it's fair to say this season is gonna be another 2010. I've given up. REALLY GIVEN UP. I really can't care about the overrated Atlantic this year because the names are sooo bad this year unlike the Pacific which have the better names... NOTHING FEELS MORE BAD THAN BEING PROMISED AN ACTIVE SEASON AND YOU'RE GETTING THE FXXING OPPOSITE. CAN THE TRADES AND PMM COLLAPSE PISS RIGHT OFF? OR I'LL PLACE AN ENTIRE GIANT HEATER INDER THE EAST PACIFIC REGION. I JUST WANT MY LANE RIGHT NOW. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 20:12, July 11, 2018 (UTC)

Fabio dissipated only five days ago. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 21:38, July 11, 2018 (UTC)

Mate you're missing the point. Still expecting activity to pick up in late July but it's looking less likely this will be the super hyperactive season some thought last month. The +PMM pattern has degraded, and the EPAC so far is yet to have a single named storm form this month. Overall, I think activity will end up above average for this season due to the weak-moderate El Niño, but without a strong +PDO or +PMM it's not likely to be a record breaking season. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 21:52, July 11, 2018 (UTC)

Wow calm down. From what I've heard, the PMM crash was likely caused by early activity last month. This basin will warm up, I'm sure of it. Besides, we aren't even in the peak of the season yet lol. The Atlantic had a dead June and only three named storms whereas this basin had 6 named storms, and so far, a dead July unfortunately for this basin. Anyways, 98E has been upped to 10/10, but chances are, this may not develop, but only time will tell. --Roy25 02:03, July 12, 2018 (UTC)

Dead. Send Help Please (talk) 08:57, July 12, 2018 (UTC)

Great, only time will tell when we get Gilma or Walaka. Just get on with the Nino already! IDC, just give me either one at any strength then I'll be all set. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 12:22, July 12, 2018 (UTC)

99E.INVEST

AOI: Over 1500 miles southwest off the southern coast of Mexico

Another disturbance with 10/30. This one maybe has the potential. --Roy25 20:57, July 13, 2018 (UTC)

20/40 now.--GentleEarthquake 01:36, July 14, 2018 (UTC)

Up on the CPHC outlook. Can this become Walaka? ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:09, July 15, 2018 (UTC)

99E.INVEST

TropicalTidbits has it up as an invest. Should be Walaka if it develops, unless it rapidly organizes by the time it crosses into the CPac early Monday (highly doubt it). ~ Steve 🌞 Talk PageMy Edits📧 05:07, July 15, 2018 (UTC)

NHC has upped 99E to 40/60. I would prefer Walaka to be used instead of Gilma though so I'm hoping 99E moves into the CPac before it gets named. ~ KN2731 {talk} 06:00, July 15, 2018 (UTC)

Same. Up to 60/70 now, and it shouldn't be named before reaching the CPac boundary unless we get a surprise. Another (sad) mention in the TWO: "and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days before upper-level winds increase". This might only be a weak fail if it develops, sigh. ~ Steve 🌞 Talk PageMy Edits📧 22:38, July 15, 2018 (UTC)

Up to 70/70. Could become Walaka as it moves towards and into the CPac but it won't get too strong if it does and it'll pass south of Hawaii down the road too. Ryan1000 00:54, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

80/80. Might cross into CPac before becoming a depression though. ~ KN2731 {talk} 14:17, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

Babes this has already crossed into the CPac. Now only at 70/70. BABES HOW THE HECK ARE WE GONNA GET AN ACTICVE EPAC NOW? WE LITERALLY HAVE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY AND NOW SOME ANTICYCLONE, HUGE AMOUNTS OF WIND SHEAR AND YET ANOTHER SAL OUTBREAK HAPPENED! I'm sorry mate but we're looking at 2013. LITERALLY fed up. WPac sucking out all the activity. Awful mames that side. COME ON!!!! WE NEED TO SEE AT LEAST TWO NAMED STORMS THIA MONTH TO GET BACK ON TRACK!! §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 21:19, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

Down to 50/50. Unfortunately, this invest will run into high wind shear, but still has an outside shot of becoming the first named CPac storm since 2016. --Roy25 02:28, July 17, 2018 (UTC)

Down to 40/40. Starting to doubt whether this would be anything at all. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 08:58, July 17, 2018 (UTC)

Busted, 30/30 (insert facepalm). Also this has apparently been renumbered as 91C, but that won't matter much because it's going to die soon anyway. ~ KN2731 {talk} 14:04, July 17, 2018 (UTC)

AOI: SW of Mexico

Another one is on the TWO, this is at 10/10 but is also moving into an unfavorable environment down the road. Ryan1000 00:54, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

20/20. What a f-king joke babes. Next. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 21:20, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

Mate I will say this one more time. MAKE. SURE. MY. LANE. BECOMES. A. LONGTRACKER. CATEGORY. 4. OR. I. WILL. END. YOU. SAL. SHEAR. §ÖñÖ ÇHÌ ñÖ §ÄÐÄMÈ JÖÖÖÖÖÖÖÖJÖ 21:24, July 16, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Season Changes

Name	Operational Intensity and Duration	Reanalysis Intensity and Duration	TCR Release Date
One-E	35 mph, 1006 mbars, May 10-12	35 mph, 1007 mbars, May 10-11	July 12, 2018
Aletta	140 mph, 943 mbars, June 6-11	N/A	N/A
Bud	130 mph, 948 mbars, June 9-15	N/A	N/A
Carlotta	65 mph, 997 mbars, June 14-19	N/A	N/A
Daniel	45 mph, 1003 mbars, June 24-26	N/A	N/A
Emilia	60 mph, 997 mbars, June 27-July 2	N/A	N/A
Fabio	110 mph, 964 mbars, June 30-July 6	N/A	N/A

Already we have our first TCR, its for One-E. Only change was that the pressure was raised to 1007, and One-E's duration was decreased by one day. --Roy25 23:11, July 17, 2018 (UTC)