This is the forum page for the 2018 North Indian Ocean cyclone season.

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Other Basin Talkpages (2018): Atlantic - W. Pacific - E. Pacific - S. Hemisphere - N. Indian

March Edit



First 2018 North Indian  Cyclone Invest! -- 11:35, March 11, 2018 (UTNC)

Now on JTWC with a low chance of development. --Roy25 19:55, March 11, 2018 (UTC)

The models aren't too enthusiastic about it but I hope it forms TBH.No.1 Mobile (talk) 20:47, March 11, 2018 (UTC)

It might peak at deep depression at most, according to models mentioned by RSMC New Delhi's outlook. They have it as "low" for 24-48 hours, but "moderate" for 48-72 hours. ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 01:28, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Is now a "Well-marked LPA" according to IMD with a high chance of formation and a code orange on jtwc.Here comes the 1st storm of the season!No.1 Mobile (talk) 17:52, March 12, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 01Edit

It's here.No.1 Mobile (talk) 14:54, March 13, 2018 (UTC)

Still a depression, but it's now coded yellow on JTWC. --Roy25 22:54, March 14, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of ARB 01Edit

dead.No.1 Mobile (talk) 04:23, March 15, 2018 (UTC)




Second invest in the basin this year. Low chance from JTWC. --Roy25 23:37, May 14, 2018 (UTC)

Looks very far west... hopefully the first named storm comes from this. ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 05:17, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Well here is a possible outcome for the invest, according to

91A May 2018 Windy Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 10:24, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Looks like a decent candidate for Sagar. Interesting storm to track if it forms. - Garfield

Now a medium chance from JTWC. God, this will be an interesting storm if it forms as it is far west. -- 14:25, May 15, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 02Edit

It's here. again.No.1 Mobile (talk) 19:13, May 16, 2018 (UTC)

Again? This is a different depression lol. Now a tropical storm on the SSHWS. --Roy25 23:26, May 16, 2018 (UTC)
This system is in the Gulf of Aden which makes it a bit interesting. In the long run, it will strike land in 3 days. -- 00:04, May 17, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm SagarEdit

Haven't posted in this basin forum for a while, but Sagar is now here and it could hit the western end of Somalia or Djbouti as a weak TS or depression in a few days, and it looks like it'll be the first storm since 01A of 1984 to transit the whole of the Gulf of Aden to western Somalia. Ryan1000 10:28, May 17, 2018 (UTC)

Wow, it intensifies into a cyclonic storm. I can’t say anything else. -- 14:23, May 17, 2018 (UTC)
Now in the Gulf of Aden, forecast to make landfall in Somalia on Saturday. --Roy25 22:32, May 18, 2018 (UTC)

Fun fact: Sagar means ocean in Bengali.Swirling Magnetar (talk) 03:02, May 19, 2018 (UTC)

A weird storm for sure. Only the 2nd in recorded history to entirely transverse the Gulf of Aden (after 01A of 1984). Expected to make landfall in northwestern Somalia very soon. If a storm can really head this far west, I guess it's only a matter of time before we witness a TC entering the Red Sea 😝 ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 06:12, May 19, 2018 (UTC)
Sagar is now making landfall in Somalia, expected to dissipate later. -- 15:45, May 19, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression SagarEdit

Now downgraded to a deep depression. -- 00:35, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Depression SagarEdit

Now a depression. -- 04:27, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone SagarEdit

Now gone. Unfortunately caused 4 deaths. --Roy25 20:10, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Up to 16! ☹️ Probably because the region is poverty-stricken and not used to TCs. It's also the westernmost landfalling cyclone on record in the NIO. ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 05:26, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

I checked it just now. It caused 22 deaths! Sad! Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 13:48, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Now the death toll is now 31. :( -- 14:27, May 22, 2018 (UTC)
That is quite a lot, in addition, Sagar has now caused an estimated US$80 million. --Roy25 22:32, May 22, 2018 (UTC)
death toll now just says “over 50”... 13:19, May 23, 2018 (UTC)



Just east of Sagar with a low chance of forming from JTWC. --Roy25 22:32, May 18, 2018 (UTC)

Currently in a much more typical location for TCs than Sagar (lol). If it develops sufficiently, it will be Mekunu. ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 06:15, May 19, 2018 (UTC)

Possible Mekunu 2018

Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 06:08, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

Could be even stronger.No.1 Mobile (talk) 13:40, May 20, 2018 (UTC)

I honestly doubt this invest would be a very strong system the models claims, let alone if it even develops, as it is still low chance of formation by the JTWC, but this invest still has a chance. --Roy25 20:12, May 20, 2018 (UTC)
Not me either. But if it does in fact get that powerful, here comes a repeat of Chapala/Megh 2015, or a stronger version of them. ~ Steve Talk PageMy Edits📧 05:29, May 21, 2018 (UTC)
JTWC has upped this to medium. IMD states that 92A has become "well-marked" and expects Mekunu within the next 48 hours. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:40, May 21, 2018 (UTC)
Now high chance and TCFA issued by JTWC. Mekunu about to arrive. --Roy25 16:15, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Depression ARB 03Edit

so soon? wow.No.1 Mobile (talk) 21:49, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

This should soon be Mekunu. --Roy25 22:24, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Deep Depression ARB 03Edit

already forecast to become a VSCS.No.1 Mobile (talk) 12:03, May 22, 2018 (UTC)

Cyclonic Storm MekunuEdit

wow,ahead of schedule.No.1 Mobile (talk) 16:33, May 22, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Cyclonic Storm MekunuEdit

wow,it's getting even stronger.No.1 Mobile (talk) 12:32, May 23, 2018 (UTC)

Very Severe Cyclonic Storm MekunuEdit

uh-oh.No.1 Mobile (talk) 12:32, May 23, 2018 (UTC)

It intensified very fast. I could eve strenghen more further in the future Tiger | Alberto will form!!! 13:30, May 23, 2018 (UTC)

JTWC takes this up to a 100 mph category 2 storm before making landfall in southern Oman as a cat 1, just northeast of the border with Yemen. Oman hasn't seen that many hurricane-strength storms before; in fact they saw none before Gonu in 2007, and since then the only other hurricane-strength storm to hit Oman was Phet in 2010. Ryan1000 15:08, May 23, 2018 (UTC)


okay,wtf is this?No.1 Mobile (talk) 14:13, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Missed a chance to see it, but no longer in JTWC. Ah well all those invests in this basin is probably because the entire basin have EXTREMELY warm water. --Roy25 16:15, May 21, 2018 (UTC)

Well it's not up on JTWC yet.No.1 Mobile (talk) 21:49, May 21, 2018 (UTC)