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This is the forum page for the 2018-19 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season.

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July

91S.INVEST

Oh. Off-season invest according to Tropical Tidbits. Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 09:20, July 27, 2018 (UTC)

Still present on Tropical Tidbits... what is going on here? Anonymous 2.0 (talk) 00:11, July 31, 2018 (UTC)

September

01S.NONAME

90S.INVEST

Pre-season invest on Tropical Tidbits. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 05:01, September 14, 2018 (UTC)

Zone of Disturbed Weather 01

And we have our first SWIO storm of the season. Probably will be weak, but will it become Alcide?  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   21:35, September 14, 2018 (UTC) 

This has been upgraded to a tropical storm by JTWC. MFR isn't expecting this to go past TD status though. ~ KN2731 {talk} 04:30, September 15, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Depression 01

Now officially a depression, starting the season relatively early. This is probably an equivalent of a March NHEM storm. Anyways, expected to stay as a depression.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   17:24, September 15, 2018 (UTC) 

Quite surprised this developed into a TD. It's actually like a storm forming in mid-March in the Northern Hemisphere. JTWC already has it at tropical storm-equivalent intensity, and hopefully it doesn't steal a name. Expected to stay very weak. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 04:28, September 16, 2018 (UTC)

Remnants of 01

Dead for a few days.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   23:56, September 18, 2018 (UTC) 

92S.INVEST

New one located quite close to the Equator, code yellow on JTWC. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 05:31, September 30, 2018 (UTC)

Still active but unlikely to develop further. Peaked at code orange earlier, is back down to code yellow now on JTWC. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 05:22, October 5, 2018 (UTC)
Apparently gone from JTWC but 92S returned to Tropical Tidbits' section for invests. Anonymous 2.0 (talk)

November

03S.BOUCHRA

93S.INVEST

A new system in a basin that nobody cares about, up on Tropical Tidbits. Alcide anyone? The SHem will start ramping up in the coming months though as their season begins. ~ Steve πŸŽƒ HappyHalloween!πŸ’€πŸ‘» 04:06, November 1, 2018 (UTC)

Dead. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 06:12, November 3, 2018 (UTC)
Actually I take that back. Low chance on JTWC, located almost near the TCWC Jakarta boundary. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 20:57, November 3, 2018 (UTC)
Officially dead.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   18:11, November 04, 2018 (UTC) 

Back up on JTWC with code yellow. It doesn't want to give up apparently. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 04:46, November 9, 2018 (UTC)

This just shot up to code red on JTWC, TCFA issued. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 06:03, November 10, 2018 (UTC)

Moderate Tropical Storm Bouchra

Named since yesterday, and this was apparently a STS earlier, but got downgraded.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   18:54, November 11, 2018 (UTC) 

Bouchura poses no land threat as it meanders southwest of Indonesia, but it's pretty early to see the 2nd named storm of the SWIO season by now. Ryan1000 10:03, November 12, 2018 (UTC)

Zone of Disturbed Weather Bouchra

Yeah, it's currently the equivalent of the NHem's mid-May. Pretty early to see 2 named storms here already. Anyway, TCWC Reunion is already dropping the system, but JTWC maintains this as a tropical system with even some re-intensification expected. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 06:06, November 13, 2018 (UTC)

It looks like JTWC has also issued their final advisory. Goodbye, Bouchra! ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 02:55, November 14, 2018 (UTC)

02S.ALCIDE

94S.INVEST

Another new one on Tropical Tidbits, located further west than 93S. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 20:57, November 3, 2018 (UTC)

Now medium chance per JTWC.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   18:12, November 04, 2018 (UTC) 
High chance from JTWC. Could this be the second pre-season storm of the 2018-19 SWIO season, maybe even named Alcide?  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   03:01, November 06, 2018 (UTC) 

Moderate Tropical Storm Alcide

Became Alcide about 18 hours ago. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:12, November 7, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Alcide

And Alcide is already up to TC status (mid-C1 on SSHWS). An eye is already forming on satellite imagery. ~ KN2731 {talk} 13:12, November 7, 2018 (UTC)

Intense Tropical Cyclone Alcide

Reached this category earlier. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 04:45, November 9, 2018 (UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Alcide (2nd time)

Alcide did peak as a cat 3 slightly earlier, but due to weak steering currents, the storm isn't expected to move much and will likely meander just northeast of Madagascar for a while. It might even dissipate offshore without making landfall. Ryan1000 13:39, November 8, 2018 (UTC)

I'm quite surprised Alcide got this strong to be honest. Although it wasn't as early as Anais from 2012, it's still very early for an intense TC here and the equivalent of early May for the NHem. It's now a C2-strength cyclone and expected to perform a loop that will take it on a northwestern trajectory while weakening. Alcide should probably miss Madagascar altogether. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 04:45, November 9, 2018 (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Alcide

Down to STS strength. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 06:00, November 10, 2018 (UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone Alcide

Post-tropical per Meteo-France, but still tropical from JTWC.  ~ Roy25   Talk | Contributions   18:52, November 11, 2018 (UTC) 

No longer on JTWC. ~ Steve Talk PageMy EditsπŸ“§ 06:07, November 13, 2018 (UTC)