Changes: Forum:2015 Atlantic hurricane season/Betting pools

Revision as of 00:15, 21 November 2014

Welcome to the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season Betting pools! Enjoy!

To keep it fun, no betting on storms that have already formed!

No actual betting is going on here (that I'm aware of)

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm

You can add in your own date if you want to do so.

Before May 1 -
May 1 to 10 -
May 11 to 20 -
May 21 to 31 -
June 1 to 10 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:04, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
June 11 to 20 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
June 21 to 30 -
July 1 to 10 -
July 11 to 20 -
July 21 to 31 -
August 1 to 10 -
August 11 to 20 -
August 21 to 31 -
September 1 to 30 -
After September 30 -
There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm

You can add in your own date if you want to do so.

There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -
Before October 1 -
October 1 to 10 -
October 11 to 20 -
October 21 to 31 -
November 1 to 10 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
November 11 to 20 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:04, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
November 21 to 30 -
December 1 to 10 -
December 11 to 20 -
December 21 to 31 -
Storm active at start of 2016 -

Informal betting on formation date and track

When will that storm form? What will it do? Like the strangest storm section below, this section is for fun, and there will likely be no winner, but you can bet on as many names as you want!

Ana - June 8, very long lasting and tracks all the way to the East Pacific just to see Olaf! rarity is best pony 22:19, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Bill - June 29, draws a track that looks like a computer with gates surrounded by it. rarity is best pony 22:23, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Claudette -
Danny - July 23, copies Sandy from 2012. rarity is best pony 22:23, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Erika -
Fred -
Grace - This AMAZING storm will form sometime in August, travels to Monaco. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Henri - Sometime in August/September, and precipitation is paint instead of water. Creates a Matisse-inspired masterpiece in the middle of the Atlantic and a new art gallery is opened in the Atlantic. Wahoo! rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Ida -
Joaquin - Draws the path of a phoenix. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Kate - Sometime in September Kate will form and she will just try to wreck all the bushes she could find while spinning around and yelling "WUTHERING WUTHERING WUTHERING HEIGHTS", pretends to be Rose (DeWitt-Bukater) and from 2016, stays stationary in the Atlantic until 2018 where there will be a Hurricane William. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Larry -
Mindy - Sometime in September, tracks to Greenland and turns into Mindy Lahiri (Mindy Kahling).
Nicholas - Don't know when Nick will form but will draw a track that looks like a cage on top of the whole of mainland US. YOU DON'T SAY? rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Odette - Don't know when but will be the Atlantic version of Odile. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Peter - A cute but very immature, childish storm that landfalls in Neverland.
Rose - Don't know when but passes over the area where the Titanic sunk. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Sam - October 31, copies Danny. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Teresa - Sometime in November, magically creates a storm named "Mother" and does a Fujiwhara interaction with "Mother".
Victor - Sometime in December, gives birth to a storm named "Ius" (the mother is Teresa) and Victor and Ius gives birth to another storm called "Ariana". No problems were caused during the making of these storms. rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Wanda - December 31, travels the circumference of the Earth 4 times and lasts well into 2019 where she can meet Cosme! (Or Cosmo, as she might think.) rarity is best pony 22:36, November 18, 2014 (UTC)

Informal betting on strangest storm

I couldn't resist. What storm do you think will shred the rules of climatology the most? Please tell why, it makes it more fun.

This section is just for fun. There will likely be no winner. Because of this, please do not cross out the names as they form, and please do not bet on a storm that has already formed. ; )

Ana -
Bill -
Claudette -
Danny -
Erika -
Fred -
Grace -
Henri -
Ida -
Joaquin -
Kate -
Larry -
Mindy - Turns into Mindy Lahiri from the Mindy Project! :p rarity is best pony 22:17, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Nicholas - Forms in December and moves in such a track that spells "Saint" on Christmas Day. Ryan 1000 22:10, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
Odette -
Peter - Turns into Peter Pan while approaching Europe! :P --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:06, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
Rose -
Sam -
Teresa -
Victor -
Wanda -

Informal betting on strongest storm name

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If you think two or three storms will share the same intensity, sign for each, and if there is a storm with the highest winds but another with the lowest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.

Ana - Time for the Atlantic Ana to become a hurricane. Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
Bill -
Claudette -
Danny -
Erika -
Fred -
Grace -
Henri - This name gives me the feeling it'll be something immensely powerful (well, kinda). --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:08, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
Ida -
Joaquin -
Kate - This one's for Kate Winslet, Middleton, and all the other Kates out there! :D rarity is best pony 22:37, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Larry -
Mindy -
Nicholas -
Odette -
Peter -
Rose -
Sam -
Teresa -
Victor -
Wanda -

Informal betting on weakest storm name (excluding depressions)

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If you think two or three storms will share the same intensity, sign for each, and if there is a storm with the lowest winds but another with the highest pressure by the end of the season, we will split the title.

Ana -
Bill -
Claudette - HAHAHA LOL rarity is best pony 22:38, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Danny -
Erika - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
Fred - Fred the Frelure. LOL --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:09, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
Grace -
Henri -
Ida -
Joaquin -
Kate -
Larry -
Mindy -
Nicholas -
Odette -
Peter -
Rose -
Sam -
Teresa -
Victor -
Wanda -

Informal betting on final storm name

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry.

Ana -
Bill -
Claudette -
Danny -
Erika -
Fred -
Grace -
Henri -
Ida -
Joaquin -
Kate - Might be a near-average season here. --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:09, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
Larry - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
Mindy -
Nicholas -
Odette -
Peter - Ok, I'm being serious with this one. Pan it is. rarity is best pony 22:39, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Rose -
Sam -
Teresa -
Victor -
Wanda -

Informal betting on longest-lasting storm

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry. If you think two or three storms will last the same amount of time, sign for each.

Ana -
Bill -
Claudette -
Danny -
Erika -
Fred -
Grace - Lasts nearly as long as Nadine whilst wandering around parts of the Atlantic. --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:10, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
Henri -
Ida -
Joaquin - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC) What a phoenix. rarity is best pony 22:41, November 18, 2014 (UTC)
Kate -
Larry -
Mindy -
Nicholas -
Odette -
Peter -
Rose -
Sam -
Teresa -
Victor -
Wanda -

Informal betting on the highest winds

Winds are in miles per hour. And no betting on storms with winds mentioned that have already formed.

Less than 115 -
115 -
120 -
125 -
130 -
135 -
140 -
145 -
150 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
155 -
160 -
165 - Might see a Catty 5 here for the first time since 2007 :) --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:11, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
170 -
175 -
180 -
185 -
190 -
195 (worldwide record, Typhoon Haiyan of 2013) -
200 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on the lowest pressure

Pressures are in ranges per 5 mbars. You can add in your own pressure if you want to do so, but no betting on storms with the listed pressures that have already formed.

Above 960 -
960-956 -
955-950 -
949-945 -
944-940 -
939-935 -
934-930 -
929-925 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
924-920 -
919-915 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:12, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
914-910 -
909-905 -
904-900 -
899-895 -
894-890 -
889-885 -
884-880 - (Atlantic record low, Hurricane Wilma in 2005, 882 mbar)
879-875 -
874-870 - (Worldwide record low, Typhoon Tip in 1979, 870 mbar)
Less than 870 - (exceptionally unlikely)

Informal betting on total number of storms peaking as depressions

There will be no unnamed depressions this year (record low set most recently in 2012)
1 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC) Some random TD in August. --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:12, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 or more -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking as tropical storms

There will be no storms that peak at tropical storm strength this year (never happened before) -
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
5 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:13, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
6 -
7 -
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 or more (record, 2005) -

Informal betting on number of hurricanes peaking as non-major hurricanes

There will be no hurricanes this year that peak as non-major hurricanes (record low set most recently in 1964) -
1 -
2 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
3 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:13, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 -
8 or more -

Informal betting on number of storms peaking as major hurricanes

There will be no major hurricanes this year (record low set most recently in 2013) -
1 -
2 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:13, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
3 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 (record, 1961 and 2005) -
8 or more (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of deaths

No betting on death tolls that currently exist. Sorry.

Less than 500 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC) Hopefully! :D --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:14, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
500 - 1000 -
1000 - 2000 -
2000 - 3000 -
3000 - 4000 -
4000 - 5000 -
5000 - 6000 -
6000 - 7000 -
7000 - 8000 -
8000 - 9000 -
9000 - 10000 -
10000 - 15000 -
15000 - 20000 -
Greater than 20000 deaths - (all time record, 1780)

Informal betting on damage totals

No betting on damage totals that currently exist. Sorry.

Less than 100 million -
100-500 million -
500 milion-1 billion - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
1-5 billion - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:14, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
5-10 billion -
10-20 billion -
20-40 billion -
40-80 billion -
80-180 billion (record high, 2005) -
Over 180 billion (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on ACE totals

No betting on ACE totals that currently exist. Sorry.

Less than 30 (record low, 1914) -
30-39 -
40-49 -
50-59 -
60-69 -
70-79 -
80-89 -
90-99 -
100-109 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
110-119 -
120-129 - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:15, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
130-139 -
140-149 -
150-159 -
160-169 -
170-189 -
190-209 -
210-229 -
230-249 -
250-259 (record high, 1933) -
More than 259 (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of retired names

No betting on obvious numbers from storms that have already formed. Sorry.

No names - (record low set most recently in 2009)
1 name - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
2 names - --Steve820 |^{Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉} 00:15, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
3 names -
4 names -
5 names (record high, 2005) -
More than 5 names (extremely unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of subtropical storms

How many storms will peak at subtropical storm intensity? If you want to be extremely specific, please write down the names of the storms you think will do so.

None -
1 - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
2 -
3 -
4 or more - (record high, four in 1974) -

Informal betting on number of off-season storms

How many storms do you think will form off-season? If you want to be specific, write down the storm names that you think will form off-season. P.S. A storm that forms in November but persists into December counts as an off-season storm.

None - Ryan 1000 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 (record high, 1887) -
More than 5 (exceptionally unlikely) -

Informal betting on final tropical cyclone report issued

This betting pool is closed until December 2015. -- Ryan1000

@@ Line 333: / Line 333: @@
 *No names - (record low set most recently in 2009)
 *1 name - '''''[[User:Ryan1000|Ryan]][[User talk:Ryan1000|1000]]''''' 22:08, November 17, 2014 (UTC)
+*2 names - --<font face="Tahoma"><span style="border:1px solid #09F;background:#000">[[User:Steve820 |<span style="color:#09F;">Steve820</span>]] <span style="color:#09F;">|</span><sup>[[Message Wall:Steve820|<span style="color:#090">Chat With Me</span>]]<span style="color:#09F;"> • </span>[[Special:Contributions/Steve820|<span style="color:#900">My Edits</span>]]<span style="color:#09F;"> • </span>[[Special:EmailUser/Steve820|<span style="color:#940">✉</span>]]</sup></span></font> 00:15, November 21, 2014 (UTC)
-*2 names -
 *3 names -
 *4 names -
 *5 names (record high, 2005) -
 *More than 5 names (extremely unlikely) -
 ==Informal betting on number of subtropical storms==
 How many storms will peak at subtropical storm intensity? If you want to be extremely specific, please write down the names of the storms you think will do so.