Monthly Archives: | ||||||
Storm Event Archives: | ||||||
Other Basin Talkpages (2014): | N. Atlantic | E. Pacific | W. Pacific | N. Indian | S. Hemisphere (2013-14), (2014-15) | WAD |
Future Start[]
You know the drill...Ryan1000 01:09, October 28, 2013 (UTC)
I predict the following activity for the North Indian Ocean (using IMD categories): 8 depressions, 6 deep depressions, 4 cyclonic storms, 3 severe cyclonic storms, 1 very severe cyclonic storm, and 1 super cyclonic storm. 01:43, January 3, 2014 (UTC)
- Here's what I predict: 7 depressions, 5 deep depressions, 3 cyclonic storms, 1 very severe cyclonic storm, and 0 super cyclonic storms. Steven09876✉ 05:38, January 4, 2014 (UTC)
Arabian Sea[]
01A.NANAUK[]
Cyclonic Storm Nanauk[]
New storm in the NIO, forecast to become a cat 1, head towards Oman, and weaken to a TS before landfall. Ryan1000 10:51, June 11, 2014 (UTC)
- JTWC has the storm at 55 knots with a forecasted peak at 80 knots. Shouldn't be too bad of a storm for Oman though, since it'll only strike as a TS. Steve820✉ 22:33, June 11, 2014 (UTC)
Depression Nanauk[]
High vertical wind shear really has taken a toll on Nanauk. The cloud structure in the southwest quadrant is significantly detached from the center, and Dvorak numbers for the system are at T1.5. Its current IMD intensity is 25 knots (30 mph)/994 mbar (hPa). The cyclone should completely degenerate within the next 24 hours. So much for it becoming of hurricane intensity! The JTWC already wrote off Nanauk. 21:42, June 13, 2014 (UTC)
Remnants of Nanauk[]
Nanauk has become a well-marked low pressure area per the IMD. 15:45, June 14, 2014 (UTC)
- Well, so much for it strengthening to a hurricane! The forecasts really overestimated this thing. Bye, Nanauk! Steve820✉ 16:37, June 14, 2014 (UTC)
02A.NILOFAR[]
Cyclonic Storm Nilofar[]
Currently a minimal TS, but forecast to become a cat 1 before recurving northeast and hitting India as a TS. Ryan1000 10:07, October 26, 2014 (UTC)
- Winds are at 35 knots (40 mph, 65 km/h) (3-minute) with a pressure of 998 mbar (hPa; 29.47 inHg) per the IMD. The LLCC is quite defined, and the JTWC notes a potential eye feature struggling in the middle of all that banding. Due to a complex situation with the STR's, Nilofar is forecasted to move NW before a shortwave trough executes the motion Ryan described above. With good outflow and low VWS, the storm should have no trouble reaching minimal hurricane intensity for the next few days before drier air and other conditions take over. It doesn't look like India needs to worry yet, but who knows... 13:13, October 26, 2014 (UTC)
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Nilofar[]
Now a cat 4 and ranks as the 3rd strongest storm in the Arabian Sea by wind speed, after Gonu in 2007 (the only cat 5 recorded here) and Phet in 2010, a strong cat 4 that hit Oman as a cat 2. It's still forecast to weaken significantly before recurving and making landfall in India, but damn, this storm looks impressive. Ryan1000 20:23, October 28, 2014 (UTC)
Severe Cyclonic Storm Nilofar[]
Guess no one's caring much about the NIO...but anyways, this thing is rapidly getting sheared apart, it's now down to a severe cyclonic storm (65 mph, 990 mbars as of the latest advisory), and it's not expected to be much when it makes it to India. Ryan1000 10:20, October 30, 2014 (UTC)
Cyclonic Storm Nilofar (2nd time)[]
Down to 50 mph/994 mbars, and expected to die before hitting India. Ryan1000 20:03, October 30, 2014 (UTC)
- I love the strength it achieved earlier, but it's now weakening and I'm not sure if India will even get enough impact from this. Guess it won't be anything worrying like I thought earlier.--Steve820 |Happy Halloween! 🎃👻 04:42, October 31, 2014 (UTC)
Post-Tropical Cyclone Nilofar[]
Sheared to bits. Ryan1000 20:19, October 31, 2014 (UTC)
- I'm glad Nilofar did not cause a disaster for India and Pakistan. However, it did achieve one feat - it is the strongest Arabian Sea TC since Gonu '07 in terms of pressure. 00:45, November 1, 2014 (UTC)
- I'm also glad it didn't be a disaster. Lol, it's funny how it got sheared to bits before even touching India. Bye, Nilofar! --Steve820 |Happy Halloween! 🎃👻 05:19, November 1, 2014 (UTC)
Bay of Benegal[]
01B.NONAME[]
90B.INVEST[]
Well, the NIO is looking ready to start with a bang! An area of convection is gaining organization in the Bay of Benegal, and it is moving into favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development. Designated as Invest 90B by the JTWC (Joint Typhoon Warning Cetner), the agency gives it a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. 01:43, January 3, 2014 (UTC)
- Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert! Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert! A TCFA has now been issued on this system and it has a high chance of formation according to JTWC's website. I think we will see a deep depression out of this, but hopefully we can witness the earliest named NIO storm I've ever tracked (If it's named, it will be Na-nauk!) Steven09876✉ 05:16, January 4, 2014 (UTC)
Depression BOB 01[]
Surprise! The IMD has designated the depression BOB 01 and given it an intensity of 25 knots (30 mph, 45 km/h) (10-minute sustained winds)/1006 mbar (hPa; 29.71 inHg). On the JTWC side, the agency has designated it Tropical Cyclone 01B, with winds of 40 knots (45 mph) (1-minute sustained winds) with gusts of 50 knots (55 mph). However, this cyclone might not last long. While the IMD predicts a deep depression in the next 12 hours, the JTWC weakens it over the next few days and a cyclonic storm is not looking plausible. But enjoy the first January cyclone in the NIO in quite a while! 01:06, January 5, 2014 (UTC)
- Up to 45mph in wunderground,might become a named storm before all is done.Allanjeffs 01:09, January 5, 2014 (UTC)
03B.HUDHUD[]
Aoi:GFS SUCS[]
GFS develops a sub-950 cyclone and moves it into India in eight days. YE Pacific Hurricane 19:22, October 4, 2014 (UTC)
Deep Depression BOB 03[]
Now a deep depression by IMD. Forecast to be a pretty strong cyclone, let's hope this pulls a Phailin and doesn't kill too many people there. Ryan1000 00:55, October 8, 2014 (UTC)
- Added a header for you, which I assume is what you meant to do. --Dylan (HurricaneMaker99) 00:56, October 8, 2014 (UTC)
Cyclonic Storm Hudhud[]
Now named by IMD. Hudhud looks poised to become a very strong TC before hitting India in 4 days or so, this is definitely one to watch out for. Ryan1000 11:42, October 8, 2014 (UTC)
Severe Cyclonic Storm Hudhud[]
65/988. Forecast to be a cat 3 when it hits India in 2-3 days. Ryan1000 20:48, October 9, 2014 (UTC)
- I hope this won't be a bad storm. Let's all hope that Hudhud will pull a Phailin and weaken a lot before landfall so we won't have such a destructive/deadly storm from this!--Steve820 |Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉ 23:02, October 10, 2014 (UTC)
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Hudhud[]
Now a cat 2, forecast to be a 3 before it hits India sometime tomorrow or Sunday. Ryan1000 05:11, October 11, 2014 (UTC)
- Now making landfall near the city of Visakhapatnam as a 130 mph cat 4, hopefully everyone's out of there by now. Ryan1000 09:19, October 12, 2014 (UTC)
Remnants of Hudhud[]
Died quickly over land, but caused 24 deaths and as much as 1.6 billion in damage thus far. The damage is extensive, but at least the death toll wasn't too high. Ryan1000 22:34, October 13, 2014 (UTC)
- But I could still see the death toll rising a bit in the coming days. It does look like it was a kinda bad storm for the Indians but at least it wasn't as bad as some of the storms that hit them in the past.--Steve820 |Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉ 00:37, October 14, 2014 (UTC)
04B.NONAME[]
Deep Depression BOB 04[]
Forecast to become Ashobaa before making landfall in India, south of where Hudhud hit, in 3-4 days. Ryan1000 13:19, November 6, 2014 (UTC)
- Long gone. Ryan1000 10:06, November 9, 2014 (UTC)
- I guess Ashobaa (Cool name BTW) will have to wait. Hopefully we see it come this month or something. --Steve820 |Chat With Me • My Edits • ✉ 16:23, November 9, 2014 (UTC)
95B.INVEST[]
95B.INVEST[]
We have a new invest roughly 200 miles ESE of Colomba. It contains a slightly defined LLCC and flaring convection to the west. While 20 to 30 knots of VWS are exposing the SE quadrant, very good poleward and easterly upper-level outflow support further development of 95B, and dynamic models suggest formation in the extended future, per the JTWC. Winds are currently 25 to 30 knots (30 to 35 mph) (1-min), with a pressure of 1002 mbar (hPa), according to the agency. With a medium chance of cyclogenesis in the next 24 hours, I hope we can get one more cyclonic storm. 00:17, December 26, 2014 (UTC)
- 95B is now ~200 mi ENE of Sri Lanka. The invest's LLCC is now exposed and convection has become more disorganized based on MSI. Although the VWS is still being offset by diffulent flow, the overall structure of the system has just collapsed, and thus, the JTWC has downgraded chances of formation to low for the next 24 hours. Wind estimates have alos been lowered to 20 to 25 knots (20 to 30 mph) (1-min) per the JTWC. If 95B is going to develop, it is going to have to put forth some effort. 22:22, December 27, 2014 (UTC)
- 95B is now located some 250 nm SE of Chennai. The LLCC remains exposed and weakly defined, but some flaring convection is present in the northern quadrant based on MSI. Although the overall environment still remains marginal for additional development, the JTWC has raised 95B's pressure up to 1004 mbar (hPa), and the chances of formation in the next 24 hours remain low. Regardless, it would be nice if the NIO produced another depression before the end of the year. 18:24, December 29, 2014 (UTC)