Changes: Forum:2014-15 South Pacific cyclone season/Betting pools

Revision as of 02:36, 25 November 2014

Welcome to the 2014-15 South Pacific Cyclone season betting pools! Enjoy!

To keep it fun, don't bet on storms that have already formed!

No actual betting is going on here (that I'm aware of)

Informal betting on date of formation of first storm

~~Before October 1 -~~
~~October 1 to 10 -~~
~~October 11 to 20 -~~
~~October 21 to 31 -~~
~~November 1 to 10 -~~
~~November 11 to 20 - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)~~
November 21 to 30 -
December 1 to 10 - December 5. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
December 11 to 20 -
December 21 to 31 -
January 1 to 30 -
After January 30 -
There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on date of dissipation of last storm

There will be no storms this year (highly unlikely) -
Before March 1 -
March 1 to 10 -
March 11 to 20 -
March 21 to 31 -
April 1 to 10 - April 4. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
April 11 to 20 - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
April 21 to 30 - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
May 1 to 10 -
May 11 to 20 -
May 21 to 31 -
June 1 to 10 -
June 11 to 20 -
June 21 to 30 -
Storm active at start of July 1, 2015 -

Informal betting on strangest storm

I couldn't resist. What storm do you think will shre the rules of climatology the most? Please tell why, it makes it more fun.

This section is just for fun. There will likely be no winner. Because of this, please do not cross out the names as they form, do not bet on more than one storm name, and please do not bet on a storm that has already formed. :)

Nute -
Odile -
Pam - Makes an eccentric "C" shape over Polynesia as a C1 cyclone. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Reuben -
Solo - Plays the most beautiful song in the world when it makes landfall in the Samoas. Ryan 1000 03:57, July 27, 2014 (UTC) Makes landfall in Fiji whilst raining musical notes instead of rain. It also plays a very beautiful song to them. --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Tuni -
Ula -
Victor -
Winston -
Yalo -

Informal betting on strongest storm name

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry.

Nute -
Odile -
Pam -
Reuben -
Solo - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Tuni - 145 mph, 895 mbar. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Ula -
Victor -
Winston -
Yalo -

Informal betting on highest winds

Winds are 3-minute sustained.

Less than 100 -
105 -
110 -
115 -
120 -
125 -
130 -
135 - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
140 - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
145 - (Tuni) Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
150 -
155 -
160 -
More than 160 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on lowest pressure

Pressures are in ranges per 5 mbars.

Above 960 -
960-956 -
955-950 -
949-945 -
944-940 -
939-935 -
934-930 -
929-925 -
924-920 -
919-915 -
914-910 - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
909-905 -
904-900 -
899-895 - (Tuni, 895) Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
894-890 (SPac record low, Cyclone Zoe in 2002) -
889-885 -
884-880 -
879-875 -
874-870 - (Worldwide record low, Typhoon Tip in 1979)
Less than 870 (exceptionally unlikely) -

Informal betting on final storm name

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry.

Nute -
Odile -
Pam -
Reuben -
Solo -
Tuni -
Ula -
Victor - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Winston - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
Yalo - Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)

Informal betting on longest-lasting storm

No betting on storms that have already formed. Sorry.

Nute -
Odile - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Pam -
Reuben - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
Solo -
Tuni - 16 days in basin. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Ula -
Victor -
Winston -
Yalo -

Informal betting on number of deaths

No betting on death tolls that currently exist.

Less than 10 - Ryan 1000 03:32, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
10-20 -
21-30 - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
31-40 -
41-50 -
51-60 - 56 fatalities expected. Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me
61-70 -
71-80 -
81-90 -
91-100 -
101-150 (record, Cyclone Namu of 1986) -
More than 150 (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on damage totals

No betting on damage totals that currently exist.

Less than 10 million -
10-20 million -
20-30 million -
30-40 million -
40-50 million - Ryan 1000 03:57, July 27, 2014 (UTC)
50-100 million - --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
100-150 million - $125 million Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
150-200 million -
200-250 million -
250-300 million -
300-315.8 million (record, Cyclone Evan of 2012)
More than 315.8 million (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of retired names

No betting on obvious numbers from storms that have already formed.

No names will be retired this year - (record low)
One name -
Two names - Ryan 1000 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Three names - Pam, Reuben, and Tuni Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
Four names -
Five names -
Six names -
Seven names -
Eight names - (record high, 1997–98 season (Martin, Osea, Ron, Susan, Tui, Ursula, Veli, and Alan))
Nine or more names (highly unlikely) -

Informal betting on number of off-season storms

Storms that form in April but persist into May, or crossovers from the AUS region, count as off-season storms.

None - Ryan 1000 03:57, July 27, 2014 (UTC), Andrew Talk To Me Contribs Mail Me 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC), --Steve820✉ 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
1 -
2 -
3 -
More than 3 -

@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 '''No actual betting is going on here''' (that I'm aware of)
 ==Informal betting on date of formation of first storm==
-*Before October 1 -
+*<strike>Before October 1 -</strike>
-*October 1 to 10 -
+*<strike>October 1 to 10 -</strike>
-*October 11 to 20 -
+*<strike>October 11 to 20 -</strike>
-*October 21 to 31 -
+*<strike>October 21 to 31 -</strike>
-*November 1 to 10 -
+*<strike>November 1 to 10 -</strike>
-*November 11 to 20 - '''''[[User:Ryan1000|Ryan]][[User talk:Ryan1000|1000]]''''' 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --<big><font face="Times New Roman"><span style="border:1px solid red;background:#000">[[User:Steve820 |<span style="color:red;">Steve</span>]][[User talk:Steve820 #top|<span style="color:red">820</span>]][[Special:EmailUser/Steve820|<span style="color:red">✉</span>]]</span></font></big> 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)
+*<strike>November 11 to 20 - '''''[[User:Ryan1000|Ryan]][[User talk:Ryan1000|1000]]''''' 03:55, July 27, 2014 (UTC) --<big><font face="Times New Roman"><span style="border:1px solid red;background:#000">[[User:Steve820 |<span style="color:red;">Steve</span>]][[User talk:Steve820 #top|<span style="color:red">820</span>]][[Special:EmailUser/Steve820|<span style="color:red">✉</span>]]</span></font></big> 17:08, August 10, 2014 (UTC)</strike>
 *November 21 to 30 -
 *December 1 to 10 - December 5. [[User:Andrew444|<span class="button">Andrew</span>]][[User talk:Andrew444|<span class="button">Talk To Me</span>]][[Special:Contributions/Andrew444|<span class="button">Contribs</span>]][[Special:EmailUser/Andrew444|<span class="button">Mail Me</span>]] 10:15, August 10, 2014 (UTC)